How To Use Stochastic Oscillator Effectively

What Is the Stochastic Oscillator?

The Stochastic Oscillator is a two-line indicator that fluctuates between 0 and 100.

The indicator shows how the current price compares to the highest and lowest price over the look back period. Typically the look back is 14 periods; on a weekly chart that is 14 weeks, on an hourly chart 14 hours.

When the indicator is near zero it shows the price is trading near or below the lowest low during the look back period. If the indicator is near 100, the price is trading near or above the highest high during the look back period. Above 50 and the price is trading within the upper portion of the 14 period range; below 50 and the price is trading in the lower portion of the 14 period range.

Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastic Oscillator

Stochastic Oscillator Calculation

Since the indicator has two lines-labelled %K and %D-there are two steps to calculating the Stochastic Oscillator values.

%K = (Current Close – Lowest Low) / (Highest High – Lowest Low) x 100

%D = 3-day SMA of %K

Where:

Lowest Low = lowest low for the look-back period (typically 14 periods)
Highest High = highest high for the look-back period (typically 14 periods)
SMA = Simple Moving Average

The above formula is for a “Fast Stochastic,” but there is also a “Slow Stochastic” version. It is the same as above except the Slow %K is averaged over 3 periods.

Slow %K = 3-period SMA of Fast %K
Slow %D = 3-period SMA of Slow %K

Since the Slow Stochastic is less choppy, many traders prefer it over the Fast Stochastic.

The Stochastic Oscillator is available on most trading platforms, such as ThinkorSwim, and on many free online charting sites, such as FreeStockCharts.com, StockCharts.com and Yahoo! Finance.

How It Is Useful

Uses for the Stochastic Oscillator include overbought/oversold readings, divergences. bull/bear trade setups and crossovers.

Overbought and Oversold

A security is overbought when the Stochastic is above 80, and the security is oversold if the indicator is below 20.

The labels are misleading though; overbought doesn’t necessarily mean the price will drop immediately, and oversold doesn’t mean the price will rally immediately. Overbought and oversold simply mean the price is trading near the top or bottom of the 14 day range, respectively. These conditions can last for a long time.

Traders do use overbought and oversold levels to monitor reversals though. If the indicator is overbought (above 80) and then falls below 50, it indicates the price is moving lower. If the price was oversold (below 20) and rallies above 50 it indicates the price is moving higher.

False or late signals occur frequently if these signals are traded unfiltered. Use the price trend to filter the signals.

During a price downtrend, enter short when the indicator was overbought and then drops below 50. During an uptrend, buy when the price was oversold then rallies above 50. The 50 level is commonly used, but can be adjusted based on personal trading strategies.

In Figure 2 this approach is applied to a stock trending higher. Only the long trades are initiated as the Stochastic moves above 50 after being oversold. Place a stop loss below the recent low that formed just before the signal (just above recent high for short sale signals).

Apply the same method to getting out of a profitable trade. Wait for the price to reach overbought levels (for long trades) then exit when the price falls below 50 (or 70 or 60 to get out a bit earlier). For short trades, let the price move to oversold levels, then exit when the price rallies above 50 (or 30 or 40 to get out a bit earlier).

Stochastic Oscillator Limitations

The main drawback of the Stochastic is false signals. This is when an entry signal occurs on the indicator, but the price doesn’t follow through, resulting in a losing trade. During choppy market conditions this can happen frequently. One way to help with this is to use the trend as a filter—only take trade signals in the direction of the trend.

Bull and bear trade setups are prone to the same false signals, especially when the price lacks any clear direction. Trading in stocks with a clear direction and only taking trades in the same direction as that trend will help in this regard.

Divergence on the Stochastic is a warning signal, but isn’t a timing or trade signal. The price can continue to trend for a long time in the face of divergence. So while divergence works sometimes, it needs to be combined with other forms of analysis or a trade signal to make it an effective trading tool.

Proponents of the Stochastic Oscillator

The man attributed to devising the Stochastic Oscillator is George C. Lane (1921 – 2004). He was a trader, technical analyst, author, speaker and President of Investment Educators Inc. The Stochastic concept was based on the idea that momentum must always change before price.

The indicator is one of the most popular in use today, used by countless traders and included in many technical analysis newsletters. Despite the drawbacks highlighted, it continues to have a wide following mainly because of the numerous ways it can be used for both analyzing and trading all types of markets.

The Bottom Line

The Stochastic Oscillator is used in various capacities, including overbought/oversold levels, divergences and bull/bear trade setups. It can also be used to provide trade signals and let you quickly know where the price is in the context of the look back period. It moves between 0 and 100 and is prone to providing false signals. Using the indicator in conjunction with other indicators or price and trend analysis helps filter out some of the false signals.

Article Courtesy : http://traderhq.com/stochastic-oscillator-ultimate-guide/

 

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Aslam-o-alakum.

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Comments By Awais Tariq On EMA Forex trading Strategy

Comments By Awais Tariq On EMA Forex trading Strategy

Awais Tariq Said :

hi i m awais from gujranwala es lecture main ju batya gaya kamal ka lecture tha meri kafi asi he mistakes thi par zia shahib ke ye baat par main pehle se amal karta hoon k loose se better hai trade na karo jaha par samj aye waha par he trade karay tu es k liye aap ku aligator aur moving average ku understand karna zorri hai aur main sirf candle par he trade kar raha tha par waha par trade karta tha jaha par market full low ya up par ab kafi experience howa es lecture k baaed thank u zia shahib aur meri tarf se aap ku advance eid mubarak

We Replied :

Bohat Bohat Shukerya Awais Tariq Bhai

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Waqas Ahmad’s Questions About EMA 60 30 15 5 Strategy And Trading Mistakes

Waqas Ahmad’s Questions About EMA 60 30 15 5 Strategy And Trading Mistakes

Waqas Ahmad Said

salam sir. sehri krtey hoe apni ghaltiyan dkh rha tha dono hazam hogayen achi tarha:) sir mjhe apki clarification se clearly apni 3 moti moti aur ahem ghaltiyan smjh ayen.

1. Mein Stochastic mein bht weak hn. apki strategy k mutabiq agr 20 se 49 ki range mei stochastic ka crossover ho tu ye bullish ka signal deta hai aur 51-79 ki range mei agr crossover ho tu ye sell ka signal deta hai?? kia aisa hi hai. mei sahi smjh rha hn. kindly rehnumaye krien

2. meri dosri mistake sirf H1 chart pe rhna mjhe ab ye smjh agya k M30 se lekar H4 tak subko hi dkhna bht zarori hai aur sath sath zarorat k mutabiq Daily chart bhe.

3. Meri nazr mei meri third mistake thori ajeb magar haqiqat hai k mein ne around 80% trade krtey waqt sirf pivot aur trend ko dkha. stochastic mjhe signal hi hamesha opposite de rha tha. clear sell ka trend hone k bawajood stochastic 20 pe crossing krrha rha isi wajha se mene stochastic ko bht jagaho pe nazar andaaz kia jo meri ghalti hai. aur kafi moqo pe 60EMA ki line ko bhe nazar andaz kia kyunke obvious trend dkh k sentiments ziada asar andaz hogaye bajae strategy kindly mjhe aur sub dkhney walo ko stochastic ko thek se istemal krney ki zarort hai.

ek bar phr sir apka bht bht shukriya apney students ki rehnumaye krne ka. agley bar aur practice k sath hazir hnga. Allah Hafiz

We Replied :

  1. Stochastic Is A Good Oscillator. Try Buying In A Bullish Trend Between 0 to 50 and Selling in A Bearish Trend Between 50 To 100
  2. Always Consult other Timeframes Too.
  3. Step One = Find A Trend
    Step Two = Confirm it With Moving Averages
    Step Three = Start Trade From A Signal Provided By Your Oscillators

Good Luck

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Question About Weak Stochastic Oscillator Signal When Following Strategy

Question About Weak Stochastic Oscillator Signal When Following Strategy

Waqas Ahamad Asked :

Salam Sir. Aj ki video kafi karamud thi uski wajah ye hai k apki startaegy ko meine apney tamam hi favourite currency pairs aur #CL pe implement krdiya tha. 16th June ki jis entry point ki ap baat krrhe hain meine bhe tamam analysis krke yani Fibo ko dkh ke Pivots ko dkh ke EMAs ko dkh kr aur apki strategy ko dkh kar SELL ki hi entry lena chahite thi usi point pe jis point pe ap baaat krrhe hain but Stochastic ki waja se entry nhe le pa rha tha kiu ke stochastic 20 k aas pass tha . Ajki video se ye pta chala k agr baqi chezein confirmation de rhi ho tu trade krsktey hain. Yehe LESSON mila ajki video se.

We Replied :

Wa Alakum salam
G Ha Stochastic Oscillator Require Experience And Practice. Agar Baqi Conditions Match Ker Rhi Hon To Stochastic Se Weak Area me be Entry Li Ja Sakti hee

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PakEagle.Com Free Forex Strategy EMA 5 15 30 60 Multiple Indicators Strategy Urdu Video Tutorial

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PakEagle.Com EMA 5 15 30 60 Multiple Indicators Forex Trading Free Strategy
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PakEagle.Com Free Forex Strategy EMA 5 15 30 60 Multiple Indicators Strategy

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